Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Doolin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Chris Adams * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Cole Dickerson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tim Derksen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tao Xu * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| De'End Parker | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Avry Holmes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Frank Rogers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Stephen Holt * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Brad Waldow * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mitchell Young * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jorden Page * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beau Levesque | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| James Walker | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Giusti | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Hodgson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter