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Montana Grizzlies 85
@
Northern Colorado Bears 77
2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 ✗ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jamar * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 2 1 26 37 -
W. Cherry * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 21 30 -
M. Ward * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 17 17 -
K. Henderson * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Martin * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
M. Weisner 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 11 17 -
E. Hutchison 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 0 2 -
S. Coleman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 7 12 -
J. Gregory 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Deshields 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Barden * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 0 2 21 37 -
T. Huskisson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 2 0 8 21 -
T. Unruh * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 19 22 -
T. Svihovec * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 19 25 -
C. Osborne * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 10 16 -
E. Addo 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Davis Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 6 -
P. Garnica 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Tucker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Keane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter