Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 43 | 7-20 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 36 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeLovell Earls * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Green | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tre' Coggins | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Max Yon | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Marshall * | 43 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 2-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Bennett * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 2-8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Katin Reinhardt * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Khem Birch * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones | 22 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Daquan Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter