Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simons * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Chris Hines * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Micah Mason * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joey King | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Richard Carter | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Jeffers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daddy Ugbede | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Allen * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 34 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| John Wilkins | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter