Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Jones * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Alex Barlow * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Smith * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Khyle Marshall * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rotnei Clarke * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kellen Dunham | 26 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kameron Woods | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Chase Stigall | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erik Fromm | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Aldridge | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Kampen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 28 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Khari Price | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devon Scott | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter