๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.0% 76.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darryl Marshall 37 5-13 3-9 8-9 2 1 4 0 4 21 11 -
Davon Usher 33 3-14 0-5 4-9 10 4 2 1 0 10 13 -
Matt Smith 32 5-14 0-0 2-13 7 0 1 2 2 12 6 -
Marcus Johnson 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 2 -
Julius Francis 21 4-5 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 3 9 3 -
Cortlan Henry 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ervin Thomas 14 1-5 0-2 2-2 7 0 0 2 0 4 8 -
Blake Ralling 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
Cameron Dobbs 4 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Darius Tomlin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Cordarius Samples 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marquis Baker 40 8-17 5-14 6-7 4 3 3 0 2 27 18 -
LeAntwan Luckett 35 7-12 0-1 5-5 4 5 0 1 3 19 14 -
Devonte Hampton 26 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
Anthony Nieves 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 6 -2 -
Ian Francis 17 1-5 0-0 1-4 4 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
Anthony Evans 16 2-7 1-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Josh Nicholas 16 3-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Michael Starks 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
Marius Myles 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Martrevious Sanders 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter