Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs +7 (64-57). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephawn Brown * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joshua Freelove * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Luther Page | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Crutcher * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Demarquelle Tabb * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Ellis * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Justan Banks * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Green Hill | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Davis | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jose Long | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nicholas West | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Justin Wagner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Baryn Houston | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Justin Colvin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter