Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Sherrod Wright * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Corey Edwards * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jonathan Arledge * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Anali Okoloji * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Holloway | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Paris Bennett | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bryon Allen | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Rendleman * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Chris Dixon * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 38 | - |
| Cedrick Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Craig Ponder * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Freddie Jackson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Luke Hager | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tyree Graham | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Shane Reybold | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Tanner Milson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter