๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +3.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan McRae * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 21 22 -
Josh Richardson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 5 8 12 -
Kenny Hall * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 4 12 -
Jarnell Stokes * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 6 13 -
Skylar McBee * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Trae Golden 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Armani Moore 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 7 13 -
Derek Reese 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 9 -
Y. Makanjuola 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 15 16 -
Trevor Lacey * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 20 -
Levi Randolph * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 12 22 -
Nick Jacobs * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 6 10 -
Rodney Cooper * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 6 10 -
Andrew Steele 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 4 0 2 11 14 -
Devonta Pollard 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 8 -
Moussa Gueye 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 3 0 0 10 -

* = starter