Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -17 (74-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Butler * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| B. Edwards * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 34 | - |
| J. Reves * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| K. Gruszecki * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| C. Catlett * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| J. Outler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. White-Miller | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| G. Gainey | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. McElvain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte' Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Basil Brown * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Corey Stern | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Reid Koenen | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Vonn Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Tanton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeffrey Nwankwo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter