Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +22 (77-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Johnson * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 22 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Drake U'u | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Awich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo McCloud * | 30 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Colin Beatty * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Sama Taku * | 21 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Travis Fulton * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Khalil Kelley * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tony Gill | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rodrigo De Souza | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Trevin Harris | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Markus Duran | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Llewellyn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Bock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter