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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.1% 28.9% -
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Log Adjusted 90.0% 10.0% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Rivard * 40 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 12 11 -
W. Saunders * 38 8-9 0-0 3-6 5 6 2 1 3 19 21 -
S. Chambers * 38 6-11 3-3 7-9 4 6 1 0 3 22 19 -
C. Webster * 35 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 2 1 4 0 -4 -
J. Travis * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
S. Moundou-Missi 24 7-9 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 2 2 15 13 -
K. Smith 10 1-1 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
A. Okolie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nesbitt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Golden * 36 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 7 4 -
A. Mitola * 33 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 11 0 -
C. Boehm * 32 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 11 5 -
J. Brooks * 32 2-5 0-0 6-8 5 1 0 0 4 10 7 -
G. Maldunas * 24 5-10 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 10 7 -
K. Crescenzi 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
T. Melville 14 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 7 7 -
M. Gill 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
T. Carpenter 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter