Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moon * | 38 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| X. Blount * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Paul Egwuonwu * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Colbert * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Flavien Davis * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Calen Coleman | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Eric Norman | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Michael Dison | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake Brumwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Webb * | 38 | 9-11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Anderson * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Josh Schuler * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Troy Huff * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Mitch Wilmer * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Lenny Antwi | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Allard | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Doug Archer | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shane Benton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter