Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 40 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 39 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 32 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 27 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Josh Hairston * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 38 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Howell * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| S. Wood * | 33 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Purvis * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter