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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ— (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% - โœ—

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -12 (71-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elston Turner * 37 14-19 6-10 6-6 6 4 0 0 0 40 31 -
Fabyon Harris * 30 4-7 2-4 4-7 0 2 1 0 0 14 10 -
Kourtney Roberson * 28 5-9 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 0 1 10 10 -
J. Reese * 18 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
Ray Turner * 15 3-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
Jarod Jahns 30 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Alex Caruso 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 4 8 -
Jordan Green 16 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 4 7 -
Andrew Young 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Harrow * 39 5-13 2-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 14 1 -
Nerlens Noel * 39 4-6 0-0 7-8 11 6 4 7 0 15 37 -
Archie Goodwin * 34 6-16 1-4 4-7 2 1 0 0 4 17 0 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Alex Poythress * 21 4-8 1-1 3-3 6 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
Julius Mays 23 2-7 2-6 1-2 0 4 0 0 0 7 4 -
Kyle Wiltjer 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jarrod Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter