Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Paige * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 28 | 9-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Simmons | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Johnson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Snaer * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| O. White * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| M. Brandon * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Whisnant * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| K. Turpin * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Shannon | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Thomas | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Bookert | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| I. Miller | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Ojo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Bojanovsky | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter