Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe De Ciman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 42 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 40 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 36 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 43 | 6-19 | 5-12 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| X. Thames * | 31 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Spencer | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Rahon | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter