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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +23 (56-33). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kedren Johnson * 26 0-3 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 5 3 -1 -
Kyle Fuller * 25 1-8 0-4 2-2 0 1 2 0 3 4 -4 -
Rod Odom * 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
Kevin Bright * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Josh Henderson * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 2 0 -
Shelby Moats 24 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
James Siakam 19 1-4 0-0 2-6 7 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
D. Parker 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 0 -4 -
Sheldon Jeter 17 2-6 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
A.J. Astroth 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marshawn Powell * 30 8-9 1-1 0-0 6 1 6 2 2 17 21 -
Hunter Mickelson * 23 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 3 0 6 10 -
B.J. Young * 22 6-13 0-4 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 14 8 -
Fred Gulley * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Rickey Scott * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 0 -1 -
Kikko Haydar 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
Rashad Madden 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Mardracus Wade 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Coty Clarke 12 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
Anthlon Bell 11 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
Michael Qualls 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Jacorey Williams 9 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
DeQuavious Wagner 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter