Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -22 (52-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Chatman * | 34 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. McDermott * | 33 | 15-19 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 29 | - |
| J. Manigat * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Echenique * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| G. Gibbs * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Wragge | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Dingman | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Stormberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Artino | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Yates | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| G. Groselle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Scheer * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 28 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Dorrian Williams | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Carmichael | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter