Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. McGhee * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Z. Mason * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. White * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Zlovaric * | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| F. Cobb * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Hampton | 16 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Watson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Bareika | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Robertson | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Bryant | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Elmore * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Marshall Harris * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Raemond Robinson * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Mike Groselle * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Matt Van Scyoc | 34 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Horgan | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ashton Moore | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Janeil Jenkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Quinton Marshall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter