Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | -0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 37 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Travis Trice | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron White * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Eric May * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 24 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Ingram | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter