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2013-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.6 โœ“ (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“

Actual: Belmont Bruins +35 (107-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Jones * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 13 17 -
Tyler Stone * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 0 3 18 28 -
Corey Wilford * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 8 5 -
Nino Johnson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 4 9 14 -
Lucas Nutt * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
Marland Smith 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 10 20 -
N. Niemczyk 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Jared White 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 5 8 -
Jacob Tolbert 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
Colin Ferguson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Clark * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 30 38 -
Trevor Noack * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 30 37 -
J.J. Mann * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 11 17 -
Kerron Johnson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 5 13 15 -
Blake Jenkins * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Craig Bradshaw 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 7 -
Reece Chamberlain 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 7 -
Brandon Baker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Jeff Laidig 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
Adam Barnes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
Chad Lang 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Holden Mobley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Spencer Turner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter