Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | -8.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -9.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -17 (67-84). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordarius Johnson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Speedy Smith * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Raheem Appleby * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Gibson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Michale Kyser * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Jaron Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. McNeail | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alex Hamilton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Chris Anderson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Massey | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J.L. Lewis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stojan Gjuroski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gilbert Talbot | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte' Jones * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Vonn Jones | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Corey Stern | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Basil Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter