Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Corey Hawkins | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Les | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| O. Betu | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter