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2013-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 76.1% 23.9% - โœ“
Margin 75.2% 24.8% -6.1 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Archie Goodwin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 5 12 17 -
Ryan Harrow * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 16 23 -
Nerlens Noel * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 3 3 13 22 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 4 0 7 25 -
Alex Poythress * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 4 7 10 -
Julius Mays 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
Kyle Wiltjer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jarrod Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kedren Johnson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 4 0 4 18 26 -
Rod Odom * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 12 12 -
Kyle Fuller * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 9 -
Kevin Bright * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 7 -
Josh Henderson * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 0 3 -
Shelby Moats 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 9 20 -
Sheldon Jeter 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 10 -
D. Parker 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 13 -

* = starter