Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Swopshire * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Mike Turner | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Tre Demps | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Omar Jimenez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| R. Travis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Colella | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Montminy | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Graham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Jack | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Maduegbunam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter