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2013-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% -
Log Adjusted 61.3% 38.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Scott * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 3 0 1 11 24 -
K. Kadji * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 4 0 18 34 -
S. Larkin * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 11 13 -
J. Gamble * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 1 14 23 -
T. McKinney-Jones * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 5 3 -
R. Brown 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
R. Akpejiori 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Jekiri 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bullock Jr. * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 0 4 11 19 -
M. Paige * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 10 17 -
J. McAdoo * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 14 20 -
D. Strickland * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
P.J. Hairston 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 2 5 11 -
B. Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 10 15 -
J.P. Tokoto 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 4 0 0 4 12 -
J. James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Simmons 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter