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2013-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% - โœ—
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 โœ— (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colt Ryan * 37 7-17 3-7 4-4 3 1 2 1 3 21 8 -
Troy Taylor * 36 3-7 0-0 5-6 7 2 0 0 4 11 9 -
Ned Cox * 27 2-7 2-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 8 6 -
Lewis Jones * 20 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
Egidijus Mockevicius * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D.J. Balentine 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
Adam Wing 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
Jordan Jahr 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Ryan Sawvell 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jaylon Moore 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Sonnen * 37 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 3 -
Anthony James * 37 8-18 1-7 2-4 3 3 0 0 2 19 5 -
Seth Tuttle * 30 3-7 1-2 2-2 8 1 2 2 3 9 12 -
Jake Koch * 28 2-5 0-1 3-5 5 0 3 1 1 7 10 -
Austin Pehl * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Matt Bohannon 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Deon Mitchell 14 0-5 0-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 -2 -
Chip Rank 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
Nate Buss 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Max Martino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter