Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Kelly * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Devon Atkinson * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Milton Chavis * | 31 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chad Posthumus * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Bakari Turner | 25 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | - |
| Taariq Muhammad | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Lewis-Briggs | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jarrett Stokes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jason Holmes | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Reed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Campbell * | 41 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| W. Triggs * | 40 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Betran * | 37 | 5-18 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Player #65857 * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Horton * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Arentsen | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Hasse | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Greer | 9 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Lynch | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Herring | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Lawrence | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter