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2013-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% +8.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% - โœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“

Actual: Long Beach State Beach +9 (78-69). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephan Hicks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 3 26 33 -
Stephen Maxwell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 2 10 22 -
Donovan Johnson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 5 -
Trevone Williams * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
Landon Drew 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 8 10 -
Brandon Perry 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 10 -
Lonnie Watson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 6 11 -
Tre Hale-Edmerson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 1 3 -
Ian Clark 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Morgan Tilford 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -
Ilya Ilyayev 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keala King * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 0 3 13 23 -
James Ennis III * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 1 6 10 17 -
Mike Caffey * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 4 0 6 14 15 -
Tony Freeland * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 11 -
Dan Jennings * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 8 15 -
Peter Pappageorge 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 8 12 -
Deng Deng 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 2 18 22 -
Kyle Richardson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Nick Shepherd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter