Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Will Bogan * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Kenney * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Erik Buggs * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Van Wijk * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| LaVonte Dority | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Coleman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ben Boggs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Barnes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Marc Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hayden Humes * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Joey Miller | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jay Parker | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ahman Fells | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Simonton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter