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2013-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (34.3 off)
Pythagorean 85.9% 14.1% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Log Adjusted 94.3% 5.7% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -34 (48-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jefferson * 30 7-9 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 2 0 17 18 -
P. Jackson * 27 5-11 3-6 5-6 5 7 2 0 3 18 18 -
A.J. Walton * 27 2-4 0-1 1-2 8 5 2 1 2 5 15 -
B. Heslip * 21 4-5 3-4 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
I. Austin * 19 7-9 2-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 17 10 -
R. Gathers 22 3-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 1 1 7 13 -
D. Bello 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
G. Franklin 17 1-2 0-1 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
L.J. Rose 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Neubert 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Lowery 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hannahs * 30 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 7 2 -
J. Tolbert * 20 1-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
J. Gray * 20 3-9 0-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 8 2 -
T. Jackson * 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
D. Kravic * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Crockett 20 4-13 3-6 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 13 2 -
K. Tapsoba 19 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 1 3 3 6 -
T. Nurse 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Lammert 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
D. Robinson 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
T. Gotcher 13 2-7 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Williams, Jr. 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Adams 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter