Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Threloff * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Wilkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 30 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 33 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter