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2013-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Log Adjusted 37.9% 62.1% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ellis * 29 3-8 1-4 8-8 2 1 3 2 1 15 14 -
K. Toth * 28 3-9 2-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 1 -
D. Cox * 26 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 4 2 0 1 6 11 -
L. Toomey * 18 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 6 1 -
J. Springer * 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Wilson 25 3-11 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 -4 -
K. Ferguson 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 1 3 0 4 11 -
A. Stire 15 2-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Plomb 10 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 1 5 -
M. Williams 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
M. Lenox 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Gramling 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brooks * 34 3-7 0-0 3-6 12 2 0 0 3 9 13 -
A. Mitola * 34 3-8 3-6 2-2 5 1 2 1 1 11 11 -
C. Boehm * 29 4-8 2-4 1-2 8 1 0 0 3 11 9 -
J. Golden * 29 2-7 1-4 8-11 8 4 0 1 1 13 18 -
G. Maldunas * 23 6-11 0-0 1-3 6 2 1 0 2 13 9 -
T. Melville 26 2-3 2-2 4-5 3 3 0 0 0 10 13 -
K. Crescenzi 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
M. Gill 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Carpenter 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. LaBove 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McKearney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Rennie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter