Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -1.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -23 (51-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Zeller * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Watford * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Y. Ferrell * | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Abell | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Hollowell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| H. Mosquera-Perea | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Jurkin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Travis * | 39 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Newbill * | 38 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Graham | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Colella | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jack | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Ackerman | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Montminy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter