Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Lady Lions | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | -3.1 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -21 (55-76). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nickson | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dara Taylor | 0 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 0 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Maggie Lucas | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Nikki Greene | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Becca Mills | 0 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Annalise Pickrel | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Klarissa Bell | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Schiffauer | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter