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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% - โœ—
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 โœ— (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—

Actual: Troy Trojans +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leroy Isler * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 13 16 -
Will Neighbour * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 2 14 20 -
Taggart Lockhart * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
Michael Javes * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 4 8 -
Josh Hagins 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 0 1 14 25 -
Kemy Osse 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 9 11 -
James White 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 4 4 -
Ben Dillard 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
Gus Leeper 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Stetson Billings 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Westley Hinton * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 10 19 -
R.J. Scott * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 4 -
Tevin Calhoun * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Josh Warren * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Hunter Williams 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 0 0 4 8 15 -
Emil Jones 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 18 22 -
Deonata Jethroe 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 3 10 -
Ray Chambers 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 11 15 -
Antoine Myers 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 6 10 -
Jeff Mullahey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter