Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -13 (77-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Heuir * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 34 | - |
| J. Stevenett * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| W. Collie * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. Jeffery * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Cheesman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Scott | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hess | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Nsenki | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hanks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Koehler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stallon Saldivar * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Dewayne Russell * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Max Jacobsen * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Michael Dunn | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jordyn Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luis Flores | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter