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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames -14 (69-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Hornsby * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 27 38 -
Will Weeks * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 0 1 15 27 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 6 0 0 3 12 24 -
Trent Meyer * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 2 9 -
Jon Nwannunu * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 3 7 13 -
D.J. Cunningham 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 4 0 10 17 -
Marcus Neely 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
Sam Hughes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 2 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marshall * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 12 20 -
J. Sanders * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 19 24 -
T. Speaks * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 15 13 -
T. Gielo * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
J. Coronado * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
J. Vander Pol 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 7 15 -
C. Roberts 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
A. Smith 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 10 -
C. Donley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Taylor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Ogukwe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter