Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -10 (60-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Tuttle * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Marc Sonnen * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Anthony James * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Austin Pehl * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Deon Mitchell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bohannon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chip Rank | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Buss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 31 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| John Wilkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter