Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sama Taku * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 31 | - |
| Travis Fulton * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Lorenzo McCloud * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tony Gill * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Trevin Harris * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Colin Beatty | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Khalil Kelley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ross Rivera | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rodrigo De Souza | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Bock | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Markus Duran | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 22 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Les | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| O. Betu | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter