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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Log Adjusted 12.8% 87.2% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Felix * 43 11-23 0-0 4-7 5 9 1 0 1 26 17 -
S. Mac * 41 9-19 2-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 21 6 -
J. Lewis * 33 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
J. Holmes * 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 5 7 -
C. Ridley * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
C. Lammert 24 2-4 0-1 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 6 11 -
J. Bond 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
I. Papapetrou 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
P. Ibeh 16 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 3 0 6 8 -
D. Holland 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Austin * 39 6-13 1-3 5-6 12 0 0 2 2 18 17 -
A.J. Walton * 38 1-7 0-3 1-2 2 5 2 0 2 3 3 -
C. Jefferson * 36 7-10 0-0 11-14 10 0 2 1 0 25 28 -
P. Jackson * 34 5-13 1-6 13-15 3 6 0 0 3 24 17 -
B. Heslip * 27 1-8 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
G. Franklin 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
D. Bello 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 1 3 3 4 -
R. Gathers 14 1-7 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
L.J. Rose 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter