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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 โœ— (18.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 โœ— (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -16 (62-78). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Murphy Burnatowski * 33 5-7 2-2 9-10 5 0 2 1 3 21 19 -
Luke Roh * 32 6-8 1-1 2-4 8 4 0 0 2 15 17 -
Mitch Rolls * 29 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 3 0 2 4 12 7 -
Pat Moore * 29 3-4 3-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 9 5 -
John Brandenburg * 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 2 3 3 -
Brandon James 24 2-5 1-1 5-6 3 3 1 0 2 10 10 -
Damon Sherman-Newsome 21 2-6 1-1 3-3 3 1 0 1 2 8 5 -
Matt McMullen 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jared Accettura 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Clayton Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Lazar Bogdanovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Alex Ramon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Mitola * 31 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 3 0 -
John Golden * 31 1-4 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
Tyler Melville * 28 4-8 2-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 11 5 -
Jvonte Brooks * 24 6-10 0-0 6-8 8 1 0 0 3 18 14 -
Connor Boehm * 20 3-10 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 7 -2 -
Gabas Maldunas 24 2-6 0-0 2-3 6 3 2 1 2 6 10 -
Malik Gill 18 3-8 0-3 4-5 0 2 1 0 0 10 5 -
Tommy Carpenter 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Crescenzi 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
Mack McKearney 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Brandon McDonnell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Rennie 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt LaBove 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Will McConnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Kirill Savolainen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter