Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 26 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Lawson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Donnie Hale | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rapheal Davis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Toyra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Neal Beshears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 27 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Travis Trice | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Matt Costello | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter