Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Wilder * | 36 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Alex Young * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Will Davis * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Adam Folker * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Chris McNealy | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Travis Souza | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Conor Clifford | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 31 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Odister * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 25 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Drake U'u | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter