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2013-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 98.2% 1.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 92.5% 7.5% - โœ“
Margin 97.8% 2.2% -20.8 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.7% 4.3% - โœ“

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Pangos * 35 2-8 2-5 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
G. Bell Jr. * 29 1-8 1-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
Kelly Olynyk * 28 4-8 1-2 7-9 4 2 1 1 1 16 15 -
Elias Harris * 23 6-9 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 0 1 18 14 -
Guy Edi * 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
David Stockton 23 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 4 0 0 9 11 -
Mike Hart 20 1-2 1-1 2-2 4 5 0 0 0 5 12 -
Sam Dower 14 1-4 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Przemek Karnowski 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
Kyle Dranginis 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Drew Barham 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Willis * 37 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 7 0 0 1 6 13 -
Jordan Baker * 32 6-15 1-6 2-3 2 3 2 0 5 15 2 -
Jett Raines * 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Stacy Davis * 25 4-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
Jan Maehlen * 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Lorne Jackson 25 6-13 1-5 3-6 0 0 0 0 4 16 -1 -
Moriba De Freitas 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
Nikolas Skouen 15 1-2 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
Austin Mills 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter