Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | +5.7 | ✗ (26.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -21 (45-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Nickerson * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| M. Gilbert * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Matthews * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Sidibe * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Barrow | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Wade | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Mikulic | 22 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Johnston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Baron * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| H. Washington * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Heath * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Manhertz * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| I. Sosa * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Groves | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Heath | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| F. Asprilla | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Edwards | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Hymes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter