Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -28 (66-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 33 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mitch McGary | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Corey Person | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eso Akunne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jared Swopshire * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tre Demps | 24 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Mike Turner | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chier Ajou | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Cerina | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter