Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Paul * | 28 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 29 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. McLaurin | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Henry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Langford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terone Johnson * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jacob Lawson * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Donnie Hale | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rapheal Davis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter