Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | -1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +4 (70-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derell Taylor * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Dundrecous Nelson * | 26 | 9-18 | 2-9 | 7-14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Howard * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jeffery Stubbs * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Sydney Coleman | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Christian Williams | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Phillip Williams | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Raymond Gregory | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Keeslee Stewart | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Demouchet | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Joshua Freelove * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Stephawn Brown * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel | 27 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Luther Page | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Price | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter